I see this come up a lot in discussions about voting in America. Postal votes disproportionately go to Democrats, hence the Democrats want to expand postal voting while Republicans want to restrict it (and insist there is totally a bunch of fraud going on).
I’ve googled with a few search engines and haven’t found a convincing reason. Lots of evidence that the skew is real, but no explanation as to why. Indeed, if one just looks at demographics, one would expect postal voting to benefit Republicans by facilitating votes from people in the countryside who live far away from voting centers.
So what actually gives?
It’s probably complex, but the end result is that it benefits democrats and that’s the important part. The way politics works is that you work backwards from the outcome you want, creating the narrative to drive to that outcome. Republicans don’t like mail in voting because it benefits democrats. Democrats like mail in voting because it benefits them. Same with the voter ID conversation. It’s actually pretty easy to create conspiracies to support narratives. In the case of mail in voting you can say that it’s easy to commit fraud and that’s why it shouldn’t be allowed. But how do you disprove that? Especially to the people who find it convenient to believe it.