• CosmicSploogeDrizzle@lemmy.world
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    2 years ago
    • Die in a few weeks? No
    • Get more users than reddit? No
    • Be a place in the long run for privacy minded people to escape corporatism and have discussions about any topic? Yes
    • treadful@lemmy.zip
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      1 year ago

      Let’s be real, most of the growth of Reddit over the last 5 or so years haven’t been the type of folks generating good content and discussion anyway. Even if Lemmy gets like 1% of the userbase this place is going to thrive.

      • Vaggumon@lemmy.world
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        2 years ago

        Glad to hear it. I deleted 2 accounts with over 100k karama, and moved fully to Lemmy. I’m here to stay as well. Reddit is dead to me.

        • jay@lemmy.world
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          2 years ago

          100%, 12 year daily reddit user - feels like I’m out of a bad relationship. I moved all my third party apps off three weeks ago and have replaced all my time with Lemmy and the Fediverse.

          I didn’t realize how poorly the experience had degraded - scrolling content mindlessly, most interactions were dull and sometimes weirdly antagonistic.

          Conversely, my experience on Lemmy has been interesting content with more depth, connecting with people in a warm and welcoming way. I don’t expect this to become reddit - I wouldn’t really want it to.

          I am excited for a future here as the third party apps are removed last this week and we can start a new adventure together.

          • Candelestine@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            Even if this does become reddit, here at lemmy.world, just move to a different Instance, block lemmy.world, and boom. Problem solved.

            Would not take long to do. I expect many people will do just this. We’re probably going to be one of the most commonly defederated-with Instances, just due to being the largest and thus, spammiest.

            • Margot Robbie@lemmy.world
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              1 year ago

              But also the one with the most content as well.

              Spam control really depends on the ability of the admins and moderation, as well as the quality of the mod tools. Lemmy is nowhere near the size of reddit yet for that to be a problem.

    • nexguy@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Was using RiF and reddit for 12 years. Been on lemmy for a few weeks and I don’t miss reddit. Certainly not going to try to use the official reddit app. So probably not using reddit even if I wanted to in the future.

  • rtxn@lemmy.world
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    2 years ago

    I don’t think it’ll die… but it is a community that needs to be built basically from the ground up, while both the Lemmy/fediverse backend technology and infrastructure are actively being developed. Reddit refugees who want a drop-in alternative to doomscroll will probably be the first to leave.

    The success or failure will be determined by the number of people willing to make an effort to post. Whether Lemmy (or the fediverse in general) will exceed the numbers of other services… I doubt it, but we wouldn’t be here if we only cared about numbers.

  • Ben@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Hmmm the main question is whether it can get it’s content to show up in search results - this being the main selling point of Reddit and other platforms.

    Right now, if you help someone fix an issue it’s pretty much walled in and unavailable.

    • hbocao@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Yeah, I was talking to my wife about this.

      Today I can search “whatever reddit”, but with Lemmy-like I have no idea how, since it’s not centralized.

    • Snipe_AT@atay.dev
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      1 year ago

      agreed, is there any way to fix this?

      i’m fairly certain that it really just depends on the google web crawlers to find and index pages. but if the posts are public that’s just a matter of time.

      even with reddit, a post has a new URL so takes some time to be indexed by google or other search engines.

      so maybe it’s just a matter of delivering relevant content over time so that lemmy results get preferred over others

  • Herr Woland@lemmy.world
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    2 years ago

    I don’t know about you but I’m here to stay. Also, you need to define “die”, since lemmy existed long before reddit drama and will be here after their downfall even if users leave it’ll continue to exist.

  • cryptosporidium140@lemmy.world
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    2 years ago

    I think I’ll still be here, I’ve been noticing a decline in Reddit for a long time and this API stuff is just the excuse I needed to leave. If enough other people think like me I’ll always have a reason to be here.

    • Guy_Fieris_Hair@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I think reddit was a slow change. Like the old boiling a frog saying. I didn’t realize how bad it got until I got here and remembered what reddit was 10+ years ago when i started. Talking to humans that aren’t a giant echo chamber. Not questioning the motives of every post or feeling manipulated. Not just a thousand tiktoc reposts or tweets. The comments that show different sides of a discussion instead of knowing exactly what the top comment is on most threads before opening the comment section.

      Reddit slowly became predictable and routine. I didn’t hate it while I was there, some things I did, but mostly I fell into the echo chamber without realizing it.

      • DoctorTYVM@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        The Reddit hive mind has been a joke for ages, but I agree. Eventually it just got stale and upsetting.

        Lemmy.world might be where I land, not sure yet. You need a certain number of users to make it work and this site has gotten popular enough that maybe it can work. But I don’t think I will be sticking with Reddit much more

  • BlackCoffee@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Define “a few weeks”

    The blackout started 12-06 which is 2 + weeks ago.

    Lemmy and Kbin are still here and I see no sign of it slowing down. I see much more posts with more engagement which is a good thing.

  • Fubber Nuckin'@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Personal opinion: activity will spike around now, then plateau not much lower than its peak. It’ll probably never be as popular as Reddit. I imagine most people will run into some minor inconvenience, then never try to use it again, and the rest of us will be here for years.

    • sirnak@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I guess a big spike is still ahead, which will be around Saturday, once the 3rd party reddit apps shut down for good.

  • fossilesque@mander.xyz
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    2 years ago

    The Fediverse will live on as long as two people want to share content. Users ebb like waves on the shore, and the sea level is rising.

    • Bizzle@lemmy.world
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      2 years ago

      the Fediverse is slow social media

      YES. I wondered what I liked so much about Lemmy, and it’s definitely that.

  • YoBuckStopsHere@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    When Reddit forces “new Reddit” is when the real migration will occur. Reddit is dying more and more every day.

    • s38b35M5@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      But they promised us that old reddit isn’t going anywhere. Surely, we can trust that something won’t happen if they say it won’t happen, right?

      • morgan423@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        You can trust that it won’t happen in the next fifteen minutes, probably. I wouldn’t believe much further out than that.

        • s38b35M5@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          I think the 3PA devs got about four months, right?

          Reddit in January: we will not charge for the API. Not in the next few years, at least.

          Reddit in April: charges are coming, but they’ll be totally reasonable and based in reality

          Reddit in May: if you want to use the API, you should pay us 29x what we make from customers that don’t use it

  • AbsurdityAccelerator@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I belive that enough critical mass has been reached for Lemmy to stick around. I sure as hell am not going back to reddit. But, to see Lemmy grow, I feel it would be better for users to be spread out across multiple instance.