Since he can still run for office and become president while in prison, is this actually going to do anything to stop him from being president? Obviously it’s not gonna sway anyone who’s gonna vote for him, so is there any actual way this keeps him from office, or at least has some positive effect for us? I wanna join the celebration about this, but I don’t see any way it actually leads to a good outcome, just more deeply convince those for or against him that they’re right, maybe at best a few people on the fence about voting for Biden will be convinced by this. It just feels like theatrics, something to grab people’s attention that will never have any real effect on Trump or his campaign
Nah, this is much worse. It’s like any effective con: Make it absurd at face value so the only people you deal with are already selected to be foolish rubes.
Too bad the US is full of foolish rubes… Hopefully not over half, but I’m not holding my breath.
That is a grim but valid point.
I still think it’s a spectrum and I put it at a 2-8% drop in polling by June, and a 6-12 point drop by July.
Keep in mind that’s not a probability of victory. Biden also working to lower his polling numbers.