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Cake day: July 5th, 2023

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  • If you first have to write comprehensive unit/integration tests, then have a model spray code at them until it passes, that isn’t useful. If you spend that much time writing perfect tests, you’ve already written probably twice the code of just the solution and reasonable tests.

    Also you have an unmaintainable codebase that could be a hairball of different code snippets slapped together with dubious copyright.

    Until they hit real AGI this is just fancy auto complete. With the hype they may dissuade a whole generation of software engineers picking a career today. If they don’t actually make it to AGI it will take a long time to recover and humans who actually know how to fix AI slop will make bank.


  • The approach of LLMs without some sort of symbolic reasoning layer aren’t actually able to hold a model of what their context is and their relationships. They predict the next token, but fall apart when you change the numbers in a problem or add some negation to the prompt.

    Awesome for protein research, summarization, speech recognition, speech generation, deep fakes, spam creation, RAG document summary, brainstorming, content classification, etc. I don’t even think we’ve found all the patterns they’d be great at predicting.

    There are tons of great uses, but just throwing more data, memory, compute, and power at transformers is likely to hit a wall without new models. All the AGI hype is a bit overblown. That’s not from me that’s Noam Chomsky https://youtu.be/axuGfh4UR9Q?t=9271.






  • The fingerprinting I’m talking about gets encoded in the screen recording too. Subtle pixel changes here or there over the entire length of the video. It’ll be lossy when it’s transcoded, but over the whole video it’s there enough times it won’t matter. Even scaling to lower quality won’t fix it and then it’ll also be lower quality.

    It’ll be like DRM, there will be people trying to remove it like anything else. They’ll break one thing and another will come along. There would still be a black market, but most people can get an unrestricted copy in exchange for money so there’s one less reason to pirate.

    Unless you’re actually pointing a camera at the screen, then OK, you do you.









  • If you’re an ssshole don’t you come back as an insect or animal? That would mean rich folks would have to do actual good to avoid that. Whatever their policies, after the first few trust fund dung beetles and assorted other multi-lifetime embarrassments, they’d probably snap out of it.

    Hey check out the cockroach yacht club guys! Lol, how did that forced birth + soul tracking debt thing work out for you!?

    Then like half their debtors would achieve nervana and fuck off to heaven or whatever.

    I think the kharma religions, this would take care of itself.